RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Landenrapport

Country Report Ecuador (Engelstalig)

Ecuador’s return to the international capital markets improved its liquidity. But, the external position remains weak. The interventionist and nationalist tendencies of the Correa government continue.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Spain: investment is back, consumption is up (Engelstalig)

Spain’s economic recovery has strengthened in the third quarter, mainly due to growth in consumption and investment. This also improves next year’s growth outlook. Meanwhile, the external rebalancing is in full swing and government finances are improving.

Landenrapport

Country Report Bulgaria (Engelstalig)

Bulgaria’s economic and political situation remains tense, as yet another government stepped down, the local financial system was shaken by organised bank runs, and bilateral relations with Russia soured markedly due to the halt of construction of the South Stream pipeline.

Landenrapport

Country Report Algeria (Engelstalig)

Algeria’s social situation remains stable as President Bouteflika was elected for his fourth term in office. The government presented a new five-year plan that once more aims to diversify the economy away from the hydrocarbon sector.

Landenrapport

Country Report Qatar (Engelstalig)

Qatar’s economy is likely to expand by a robust 6% in 2014, although it remains highly dependent on the hydrocarbon sector. Moreover, tensions with its GCC neighbours remain a challenge for Qatar given its ambition as an international peace broker.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Germany: at least, it is no recession (Engelstalig)

German GDP-growth was weak in the third quarter. It was mainly driven by domestic consumption, while gross capital formation attributed negatively. Going forward, we expect this picture to remain unchanged.

Landenrapport

Country Report Egypt (Engelstalig)

Domestic stability in Egypt has improved markedly and the economy is showing timid signs of recovery. The government has engaged in bold reforms and generous aid from the GCC countries gives Egypt the financial space to gradually implement them.

Landenrapport

Country Report Mozambique (Engelstalig)

Mozambique’s economic growth remains strong, but increasing fiscal imbalances might become a challenge in the medium term. A ceasefire agreement between Renamo and Frelimo represents a significant improvement of domestic security and stability.

Landenrapport

Country report Indonesia (Engelstalig)

The reform process in Indonesia is not expected to speed up markedly under the new government, but growth is expected to accelerate somewhat. Indonesia remains vulnerable to deteriorating financial markets sentiment.