RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Conjunctuurbeeld

Russia: Economic slowdown continues (Engelstalig)

Russia’s economic activity has continued to slow in 13Q3 and we expect growth in 2013 as a whole to be around 1.5%. The economic slowdown is starting to adversely impact public finances. The central bank has left rates on hold for now, despite falling inflation.

Landenrapport

Country Report Russia (Engelstalig)

The Russian economy has fallen into a recession this year. A fiscal stimulus package to boost economic growth was announced in May, but we do not expect any short-term results. To gain more influence in the CIS region, Russia has resorted to strong-arm tactics.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Conjunctuurbeelden eurozone

De groeicijfers van het tweede kwartaal van 2013 laten een gemengd beeld zien. Zo presteerde de Duitse economie goed, maar bleven Spanje en Italië in recessie. Onze Conjunctuurbeelden in één overzicht.

Themabericht

The Russian Crisis 1998 (Engelstalig)

Russia’s fixed exchange rate regime together with its fragile fiscal position appeared to be unsustainable in the course of 1998. By then an outbreak of a severe banking, currency and sovereign debt crisis could not be prevented.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update Russia (Engelstalig)

Russia’s economic growth has continued to slow this year and we expect 2.2% growth in 2013. The central bank is likely to loosen monetary policy amid falling inflation. The government’s stimulus measures are justifiable, but no effect is expected in the very short term.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Russia: Slowdown continues, stimulus expected (Engelstalig)

The most recent data shows that economic growth in Russia continues to slow down. There have been talks of a fiscal stimulus package, which is feasible given Russia’s healthy public finances. However, it is not without risks in the long term.

Landenrapport

Country Report Russia (Engelstalig)

Economic growth in Russia is falling to a lower longer-term trend growth of 3-4%. While domestic political stability has been restored, underlying tensions remain. Tensions with the EU have recently risen but are unlikely to escalate.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update Russia (Engelstalig)

Preliminary data shows that the Russian economy grew by 3.4% y-o-y in 2012. However, this masks the fact that the economy slowed fairly sharply over the course of the year. We expect growth to remain subdued at 3% in 2013.