RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Landenrapport

Turkey: ongoing political instabiliy (Engelstalig)

Turkey’s economy expanded by 4% last year, but Russian sanctions and weaker tourist arrivals will negatively affect growth this year. In spite of the AKP’s regained parliamentary majority, Turkey’s political situation remains volatile which could once more weigh on essential foreign capital inflows.

Landenrapport

Country Report Turkey (Engelstalig)

Political pressure on the central bank ahead of parliamentary elections contributed to a strong depreciation of the Turkish lira. Concerns about a possible executive presidency after elections and more populist economic policies unnerve investors.

Landenrapport

Country Report Turkey (Engelstalig)

While Turkey’s economic growth started to slow in the second quarter, the central bank faces pressure to reverse its major January interest rate hike ahead of the 2015 parliamentary elections. As expected, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan became Turkey’s first directly-elected president.

Landenrapport

Country Report Turkey (Engelstalig)

Turkey’s external vulnerabilities decreased in the first quarter of this year, as the current account deficit started to decline and net capital inflows resumed. Meanwhile, Prime Minister Erdoğan’s dominant position was strengthened by his party’s victory at the March 30th municipal elections.

Economisch Kwartaalbericht

Westen gaat weer meer bijdragen aan groei van de wereldeconomie

De wereldeconomie zal in 2014 en 2015 naar verwachting langzaam herstellen. Over de gehele linie zijn de risico’s iets kleiner dan de afgelopen jaren, maar eventuele schokken kunnen in dit stadium wel grote gevolgen hebben.

Landenrapport

Country Report Turkey (Engelstalig)

Turkey’s economy is heading for a slowdown this year, as external financing conditions deteriorate and the central bank had to hike interest rates strongly to defend the lira. The AKP will likely win the upcoming municipal elections, even as an ongoing corruption probe may cost it some votes.

Landenrapport

Country Report Turkey (Engelstalig)

Turkey’s large current account deficit and its small stock of foreign reserves make it vulnerable to the effects of tapering by the US Federal Reserve. Meanwhile, there have also been several important political developments.

Landenrapport

Country Report Turkey (Engelstalig)

After nearly overheating in 2011, Turkey’s economic growth came to a halt in 2012, as the government and Central Bank successfully cooled domestic demand and reined in the massive influx of portfolio investments.

Landenrapport

Turkey (Country Update) (Engelstalig)

Turkey's economy appears to be headed for a soft-landing, after nearly overheating in 2011. While domestic demand growth came to a halt, exports took over as the main driver of growth. For 2012, we expect growth to come in at roughly 3%.