Themabericht
The great Brexit gamble paid off (Engelstalig)
The great Brexit gamble paid off: Prime Minister Johnson got his majority in the House of Commons and he will now be able to ‘get Brexit done’. The UK will leave the EU by January 31.
RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek
12 Publicaties
Special
The Great Brexit Gamble (Engelstalig)
Even though PM Johnson’s Brexit deal would only lead to limited checks, we don’t expect the EU to accept his proposal. They are treading carefully to avoid any blame and count on the UK Parliament to prevent a no-deal Brexit on October 31.
Themabericht
Brexit Update - Extension rebellion (Engelstalig)
Whilst ‘Super Saturday’ turned into a Brexit anti-climax, it also became clear that Prime Minister Johnson actually might have the numbers to get his deal through. This may change when the deal will be scrutinized.
Column
Licht aan het einde van de Brexit-tunnel?
Deze week staat weer volledig in het teken van Brexit. Het Verenigd Koninkrijk en de EU intensiveren de gesprekken in aanloop naar de Europese Raad op 17 en 18 oktober. Komt er een akkoord, of gaan we toch weer verlengen?
Economisch commentaar
Brexit Update - Blame games (Engelstalig)
The EU and the UK are treading carefully to avoid any blame when things go wrong, but it remains highly unlikely that a deal will be reached in the next two weeks. This means that there will be yet another showdown in Westminster.
Economisch commentaar
Brexit Update - Hurricane Brexit (Engelstalig)
A lot has happened since we’ve published our previous Brexit Outlook. The clash between the British Government and Parliament was entirely expected, but eventually culminated into an unprecedented series of dramatic events.
Special
Brexit Outlook: Take control! (Engelstalig)
Prime Minister Johnson has asked the Queen to suspend Parliament. While it was an explosive move, confrontation between Johnson and Parliament has always been inevitable. The EU has been betting on the UK parliament to intervene, but the window has narrowed. The risk of a no-deal Brexit is obviously rising, but secondary to the risk of a general election.
Column
Johnson: populisme van de bovenste plank
De komende maanden zullen weer in het teken komen te staan van Brexit. Weet Boris Johnson het parlement naar zijn hand te zetten?
Conjunctuurbeeld
United Kingdom: Brexit hangover (Engelstalig)
Brexit will get messier under Boris Johnson’s leadership and the British economy is already suffering from the Brexit uncertainty. The economic outlook for 2019 is modest and shadowed by the prospect of a hard Brexit on 31 October.
Special
The economic bill of Brexit pre-Brexit (Engelstalig)
At first glance, the economy of the United Kingdom hasn’t suffered much from Brexit. However, appearances are deceiving and the steady growth of the past two years masks underlying Brexit damage.
Column
Brexit Fantastic?
Vallen de puzzelstukjes dan eindelijk op hun plek voor Theresa May? Daar wordt op de markt nu wel vanuit gegaan. Het is geprijsd voor een 'Brexit Fantastic', maar in het geval van Brexit hebben we al vaker gezien dat teleurstelling op de loer ligt.
Column
Theresa May: Let's get on with it!
De markten zijn gekalmeerd en beschouwen May’s retoriek over een no-deal Brexit als een pressiemiddel in de onderhandelingen. Toch is het risico op een onfortuinlijke no-deal Brexit groot. Het is aan May om haast te maken: zoek draagvlak voor een Brexit die wel werkt.