RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Special

Emerging Markets Vulnerability Heatmap (Engelstalig)

We present a ‘new and improved’ version of Rabo’s Emerging Market Vulnerability Heatmap which is constructed from a more comprehensive list of inputs. The heatmap highlights ARS, TRY and ZAR as the most vulnerable emerging market currencies.

Economisch commentaar

Wel zon, maar geen komkommertijd voor de wereldeconomie

Het gaat niet slecht met de wereldeconomie, maar er is geen reden tot juichen. Politieke risico’s binnen en buiten Europa zijn nog steeds substantieel en er hangt onzekerheid boven financiële markten over de normalisatie van het monetaire beleid.

Special Engelstalige versie

Visie op 2016: internationale economie

De mondiale groei houdt in 2016 aan, maar versnelt niet. De VS is bijna klaar voor een renteverhoging en de rest van de wereld wacht in spanning af. Normalisatie van het monetaire beleid is economisch riskant, maar te lang, te ruim monetair beleid ook.

Economisch commentaar

Het Europees Semester 2015: de resultaten

Het Europees Semester 2015 loopt ten einde. Het aantal buitensporigetekortprocedures neemt weer iets af en wederom ontsnappen alle landen waarin excessieve macro-economische onevenwichtigheden zijn geconstateerd aan een straf.

Landenrapport

Country Report Poland (Engelstalig)

Poland embarked on a broad-based economic recovery, as growth rose from 1.6% in 2013 to 3.3% last year. Large amounts of CHF-denominated mortgages should not derail the recovery, while upcoming elections are unlikely to lead to major policy changes.

Landenrapport

Country Report Poland (Engelstalig)

Poland’s economy continued to rebound strongly in the first half of this year, but growth is likely to weaken amid mutual EU and Russian sanctions. As prime minister Tusk heads for Brussels, a new cabinet may be nominated as soon as early September.

Landenrapport

Country Report Poland (Engelstalig)

Poland’s economy regained steam in the second half of 2013, as domestic demand gradually picked up. Yet, depending on the decision of the Constitutional Court on a major pension reform, growth could be dampened by additional fiscal austerity measures.

Landenrapport

Country Report Poland (Engelstalig)

Benefitting from firming external demand, Poland’s economy gradually turns the corner and its external position improves. Yet, weaker growth left its mark on public finances, forcing the government to take steps to avoid mandatory spending cuts.

Landenrapport

Country Report Poland (Engelstalig)

Being hailed as the only EU country without a recession during the 2008/09 global financial crisis, all eyes are on Poland now that the economy is slowing.

Landenrapport

Poland (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Growth in Poland is expected to be 2-3% for 2012. But an escalation of eurozone problems will affect Poland. While the internal market will provide some cushion, the room for stimulus measures is smaller than during the last crisis.

Landenrapport

Poland (Country report) (Engelstalig)

After growing strongly with 4.3% in 2011, the economy of Poland is expected to slow to a still respectable 2-3% in 2012. Considering the sovereign-debt-sensitive market is continuation of current fiscal consolidation important.

Special

Poland up to 2022: Fish nor Fowl (Engelstalig)

The Country Risk Research team of Rabobank’s Economic Department presents to you the study ‘Poland In depth: ten years ahead’. With this study we aim to provide an in depth analysis of Poland and point out the key developments in the next decade.