RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek


Hoe gaat CBDC er in de praktijk uitzien?

In deze special lopen wij de gevolgen van CBDC langs en vertalen die in ontwerpvereisten. Wat naar voren komt is een indirect model. Daarin wordt CBDC uitgegeven door de centrale bank, maar mensen kunnen hun CBDC rekeningen alleen bereiken via private poortwachters. Op deze manier behoeft CBDC geen ingrijpende verandering van de positie van de centrale bank.


Australia: Policymakers shifting gears (Engelstalig)

The recent Australian federal budget represents a shift in budget strategy away from budget prudence towards higher spending. The combination of loose fiscal and monetary stimulus increases inflation expectations. However, the RBA doesn’t expect a rate hike before 2024 due to spare capacity in the economy.


Eurozone pent-up demand: big and decisive or over-estimated and uncertain? (Engelstalig)

A recovery in consumption this year seems all but certain, but expectations about its vigour – underpinned by the ‘pent-up demand’ narrative – could well be too optimistic. Although Eurozone households have stacked up some EUR600bn in additional saving since the pandemic, we argue that a sizeable part of those savings will probably stick. In this research note we explore three scenarios.


Scotland: A proxy vote for independence? (Engelstalig)

The Scottish regional election is potentially shaping up to have a big impact on the future of the UK. Scottish independence has returned to the top of the agenda and the SNP will argue to have a fresh mandate. The economic argument for Scottish independence is weak, but the Conservatives aren’t in the position to credibly make this case.