Themabericht
The great Brexit gamble paid off (Engelstalig)
The great Brexit gamble paid off: Prime Minister Johnson got his majority in the House of Commons and he will now be able to ‘get Brexit done’. The UK will leave the EU by January 31.
Themabericht
The great Brexit gamble paid off: Prime Minister Johnson got his majority in the House of Commons and he will now be able to ‘get Brexit done’. The UK will leave the EU by January 31.
Themabericht
Whilst ‘Super Saturday’ turned into a Brexit anti-climax, it also became clear that Prime Minister Johnson actually might have the numbers to get his deal through. This may change when the deal will be scrutinized.
Themabericht
Conservative MP’s have pre-selected Johnson and Hunt as the candidates the party member can vote for to become the new PM. Johnson has so far been in the lead, which spells a lot of trouble for Brexit.
Themabericht
The EU council approved the EU-UK Brexit deal on 25 November. The document sets out the divorce conditions. It also includes an outline of the envisaged future economic partnership in the appendix. The approval of the UK parliament is still pending.
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The choice of the British population to leave the EU will have significant consequences for the relationship between the EU and the UK. Our Brexit Monitor helps you keep track of the latest Brexit developments and prepare for things to come.
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The UK government published a long awaited White Paper on the blueprint for the post-Brexit EU-UK relationship. The proposal brings more clarity but not more certainty. Hence the threat of a hard Brexit persists.
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On 6 July PM May and her cabinet agreed on a blueprint for the future EU-UK economic relationship, one that keeps close ties to the EU post-Brexit and angered the Brexiteers. PM May averts another crisis but is not out of the woods yet.
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The Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Theresa May, averts another crisis and pushes the Brexit can down the road making it likely that the Brexit negotiations run into further delays and the withdrawal agreement is ready only towards the end of 2018.
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The EU and the UK reached an agreement over a transition period on March 19, 2018. That is good for business continuity but does not affect our Brexit outcome base case. Hence, we maintain our view that the economy will slow down in 2018.
Themabericht Engelstalige versie
De Britse premier Theresa May heeft op 29 maart Artikel 50 van het Verdrag van Lissabon ingeroepen en hiermee Brexit officieel in gang gezet. De vooruitzichten voor het behoud van vrijhandel met het VK zijn allesbehalve rooskleurig.
Themabericht Engelstalige versie
Wij voorzien twee realistische onderhandelingsuitkomsten tussen het VK en de EU: een bilateraal handelsverdrag of geen verdrag. In beide uitkomsten kunnen Nederlandse bedrijven die zaken doen met het VK te maken krijgen met meer handelsbelemmeringen.
Themabericht
Theresa May wanted to exploit her enormous lead in the polls to strengthen her Brexit mandate, but this gamble has now backfired. The Conservatives lost their majority in the House of Commons, an arrangement with DUP is now a plausible scenario.
Themabericht
Brexit has officially started since British Prime Minister Theresa May invoked Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon. The negotiations will be complex, difficult and time consuming and we foresee various roadblocks in the Brexit process.