RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

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Country Report Peru (Engelstalig)

Fuelled by higher commodity prices and improved business and consumer sentiment, Peru has recovered vigorously from the global economic crisis. As a result, the economy is now operating close to full capacity.

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Panama (Country update) (Engelstalig)

Benefitting from a large-scale public investment program, Panama’s economy will likely withstand the current global economic slowdown and continue to grow solidly. While government finances remain stable, challenges might arise over the medium-term.

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Peru (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Peru’s presidential elections were won by former left-wing radical Ollanta Humala. However, both the policies and the most key economic decision makers of the new government have a very moderate and pragmatic character.

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Russia (Country report) (Engelstalig)

The Russian economy remains too reliant on its oil and gas sector while corruption remains deeply embedded. The biggest change since our May 2011 update is the announcement that PM Putin will run for president.

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Slovenia (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Owing to its close ties with neighboring Italy and various domestic problems, Slovenia has been suffering from contagion from the euro area debt crisis. Its economic recovery remains highly export-dependent on the back of a sizable banking crisis.

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Algeria (Country update) (Engelstalig)

Algeria is experiencing continuing social unrest, although at a smaller scale than many other countries in the region. Meanwhile, the economy continues to grow at about 4% of GDP a year.

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Argentina (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

On 23 October 2011, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner won the presidential elections convincingly with 54% of the votes. Her party also regained the majority in congress which it lost in 2009. This will give Fernández a strong position in the coming years.

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Egypt (Country update) (Engelstalig)

After the revolution in the beginning of this year, Egypt’s political situation is still unstable. The main political risks include tensions between the Christian Coptic minority and Islamic parties, as well as the military not handing over power.

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Taiwan (Country update) (Engelstalig)

Although Taiwan witnessed an economic downturn during 2008/2009, the country has managed to recover well, recording 10.9% growth in GDP in 2010.

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China (Country report) (Engelstalig)

In China, real GDP growth is slowing gradually to 8.5% in 2012 under the baseline, soft landing scenario. However, a number of downside risks are present. Inflation is easing and in 2012 and 2013, China’s top leadership will be replaced.

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Turkey (Country update) (Engelstalig)

Slower growth in the second quarter helped calm the economy, thereby reducing the risk of overheating the Turkish economy. Another concern is that the domestic credit growth rate is expected to reach roughly 35% in 2011 (from 27% in 2010).

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Country Report Saudi Arabia (Engelstalig)

The Saudi Arabian economy is highly reliant on its oil resources. As it possesses a quarter of the world’s proven oil reserves and is the world’s only “swing producer” since it has considerable capacity to extract more barrels from its sources, the country plays an important international role.

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Country Update Maldives (Engelstalig)

The economy of Maldives is forecast to grow around 5-6% in 2011/12, helped by recovering tourism arrivals. However, the Maldives struggles with massive deficits on the fiscal and current account balance.