RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek


Hungary (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Hungary's economic situation leaves much to be desired. After contracting by nearly 7% in 2009, the economy grew by less than 2% in the subsequent years, only to fall back into recession at the start of 2012.


Concrete plannen, onzekere uitvoering

Het is een traditie die nu al een paar jaar aanhoudt: het belangrijkste nieuws op Prinsjesdag zit niet in het miljoenennotakoffertje, maar zijn de hoedjes. Dit jaar is het nog erger: niet alleen de plannen waren bekend, ook worden ze niet uitgevoerd.


Brazil (Country Update) (Engelstalig)

Brazil's economic growth has been disappointing, with growth falling to 2.7% in 2011 and an expected 2% (at most) in 2012. The central bank has been lowering its policy rate to a record-low 7.5%.


Sri Lanka (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Sri Lanka is an island situated in the Indian Sea. The end of the 26-year long civil war in May 2009 has majorly boosted its economic prospects. Overall, the socio-political situation seems to be the largest risk for Sri Lanka.


Cyprus (Country update) (Engelstalig)

The Cypriot economy is deteriorating at an alarming speed. As the country's large financial sector is heavily exposed to Greek debt, its banks have been struggling to remain solvent.


Lithuania (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Lithuania's recovery will slow in 2012, as domestic demand is still recovering and eurozone demand will be slow, reducing the growth of Lithuania's export sector.


Uzbekistan (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Uzbekistan's political situation is stable, but only as it is ruled in an authoritarian manner by President Karimov. The social situation is troublesome, since economic, religious and press freedom are strictly limited and corruption continues.


Mongolia (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Mongolia's economy is growing by double-digit rates on the back of investments in the mining sector and expansionary fiscal policies. Mongolia's export structure is vulnerable, as it exports only a few commodities, nearly all to China.


South Korea (Country report) (Engelstalig)

South Korea's export oriented economy is weathering the global economic slowdown relatively well, although growth is slowing. Economic policy continues to focus on stability rather than supporting growth.


Kuwait (Country report) (Engelstalig)

The turmoil in the Arab world had little impact on Kuwait, although concerns of contagion remain. A large risk lies in the political sphere, wherefrictions severely hamper economic reforms. Economic growth is estimated at 5% in 2012.


Libya (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Libya has been successful in rebuilding the oil fields that were damaged during the revolution and subsequent civil war. As a result, economic recovery will be more rapid than previously anticipated.


Poland (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Growth in Poland is expected to be 2-3% for 2012. But an escalation of eurozone problems will affect Poland. While the internal market will provide some cushion, the room for stimulus measures is smaller than during the last crisis.