RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Economisch commentaar

Tapering, a game-changer? (Engelstalig)

The start of tapering in January 2014 is not expected to significantly change our global economic outlook. Nevertheless, it might have negative consequences for the bond markets of vulnerable countries, both in the emerging world and the eurozone.


Outlook 2014 - United Kingdom (Engelstalig)

There are signs that UK’s economic activity is gathering momentum. But the recovery is not on a solid footing yet and, therefore, needs to be nurtured.


Outlook 2014 - Eurozone (Engelstalig)

The eurozone economy seems to have entered a phase of modest recovery. But, worrisome public finances, limited investment demand and tight credit conditions continue to hamper growth. Current problems are unlikely to be solved by a banking union.


Outlook 2014 - China: balancing reforms and growth (Engelstalig)

After an ambitious start, China’s new leadership seems to have eased back on its reform drive. Maintaining a sufficiently strong growth rate is still the priority. For 2014, this implies only incremental reforms and a growth rate of around 7¼%.


The Tequila crisis in 1994 (Engelstalig)

In this report we will focus on the crisis of 1994 in Mexico, where a strong devaluation of the peso led to both a currency and banking crisis, while a sovereign crisis was just prevented.


The Mexican 1982 debt crisis (Engelstalig)

In August 1982, Mexico was the first of many Latin American countries to default on its sovereign debt. This report covers the main characteristics of the Mexican debt crisis as well as its main causes and triggers.

Themabericht Engelstalige versie

Prinsjesdag: een herhaling van zetten

De bonte verzameling hoofddeksels is het grootste nieuws van Prinsjesdag. Want de troonrede is opnieuw doordrenkt van de bezuinigingsretoriek. De hoogte van het begrotingstekort lijkt de enige maatstaf te zijn voor de economische toestand in Nederland.


The Russian Crisis 1998 (Engelstalig)

Russia’s fixed exchange rate regime together with its fragile fiscal position appeared to be unsustainable in the course of 1998. By then an outbreak of a severe banking, currency and sovereign debt crisis could not be prevented.


The Turkish 2000-01 banking crisis (Engelstalig)

Turkey experienced a severe banking crisis during 2000 and 2001. The crisis had a major impact on banking supervision and regulation, as both were extensively strengthened.


The Argentine Crisis 2001/2002 (Engelstalig)

In the late 1990s, Argentina’s currency peg to the US dollar, pro-cyclical fiscal policies and extensive foreign borrowing left the country unable to deal with economic shocks. This led to a severe currency, sovereign debt and banking crisis.