RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Landenrapport

Country Update Macedonia (Engelstalig)

Macedonia is a small, Balkan country, which aims to become a EU candidate next year or so. Its external position is weak and unemployment is a huge issue. Remittances are the lifeline of the country, which, unfortunately, partly come from Greece.

Landenrapport

Philippines (Country report) (Engelstalig)

The Philippine economy impresses as it continues to perform well amid a struggling global market. While strong headwinds from the country's main trading partners are likely to persist, a pickup in government spending will help mitigate the effects.

Landenrapport

Country Update Tunisia (Engelstalig)

Violent protests and strikes continue in Tunisia and will result in low GDP growth in 2012. Meanwhile, continued unrest will further aggravate the growing external and fiscal imbalances.

Landenrapport

Thailand (Country update) (Engelstalig)

The government of Thailand faces some challenging times: recovery of widespread flooding in 2011 and rising political tensions. All of this against the background of a weakening global outlook.

Landenrapport

Nicaragua (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Benefitting from strong foreign direct investments, Nicaragua's economy posted 4.7% economic growth last year. Still, Nicaragua remains heavily dependent on politically-motivated Venezuelan financial support.

Landenrapport

Suriname (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Benefitting from rising gold prices and foreign investment into its mining sector, Suriname's economic growth strengthened to 4.3% last year. However, the passage of an amendment to the Amnesty Law sparked sharp protests from Western countries.

Landenrapport

United Arab Emirates (Country report) (Engelstalig)

The UAE has hardly been touched by the political turmoil in the Arab world. Even so, concerns exist on the medium to long-term fallout of the regional turmoil. The economy is expected to grow a sound 3.5% in 2012.

Landenrapport

Czech Republic (Country update) (Engelstalig)

The Czech Republic entered its second recession in three years. After the global financial crisis caused the economy to contract by 4.7% in 2009, it has failed to make a full recovery.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update France (Engelstalig)

Several signals point to a contraction of private consumption in the current quarter. To this end, we can expect GDP to contract in 12Q2. President Hollande cannot significantly alter this outlook despite his preference for a growth-based strategy.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update Emerging Markets (Engelstalig)

Both growth and currencies appear to be on the slide in emerging markets around the World. In Brazil, China and India, governments are coming to the fore trying to keep growth at reasonable levels. There are a few scattered bright spots though.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update Italy (Engelstalig)

In the first quarter of 2012, the Italian GDP fell back for the third in a row. Consumer and producer confidence has deteriorated over the past months. This makes it very likely that the recession stretches out into the third quarter of 2012.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update United Kingdom (Engelstalig)

GDP contracted by 0.3% q-o-q in Q1. This means a technical recession is now a reality. Going forward, output will bounce around over the next few quarters due to the Queen's Diamond Jubilee and the Olympics.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update The Netherlands (Engelstalig)

In the first three months of 2012 the Dutch economy contracted for the third consecutive quarter. Thus the Netherlands is still in recession. Consumption remains low, held back by tax increases and cutbacks combined with low consumer confidence.