RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Themabericht

Germany and further EU integration (Engelstalig)

Elections in Germany in 2013 might result in a stable and EU-friendly grand coalition. However, recent appeals against the ESM ratification suggest that politicians will be constrained by legal boundaries regarding further EU integration.

Themabericht

Retail and investment banking (Engelstalig)

In this study we analyse the feasibility of Dutch implementation of the British (Vickers) and American (Volcker) proposals for separating retail and investment banking or a ban on proprietary trading, respectively.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update Emerging Markets (Engelstalig)

This month’s economic data from emerging markets is rather mixed. While first-quarter economic growth in Mexico and the Philippines surprised to the upside, Brazil’s economy continues to slow down. Argentina might soon face challenging times.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update Belgium (Engelstalig)

After the better than expected GDP figure in 12Q1 a new slow down seems unavoidable. We anticipate a contraction of GDP in 12Q2. If the economic weakness lasts, we believe also the labour market cannot remain out of harm's way.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update Germany (Engelstalig)

GDP increased by 0.5% q-o-q in 12Q1. Activity is likely to be far weaker in Q2. Even a minor contraction in GDP cannot be excluded. Unemployment rose for the third month in a row in June.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update Spain (Engelstalig)

Following two quarters of a 0.3% q-o-q GDP contraction, the decline in economic activity probably acce-lerated in 12Q2. The fact that the government has been unable to reduce the budget deficit up until May is worrying.

Conjunctuurbeeld

Economic Update The Netherlands (Engelstalig)

Over the first quarter, the economy did not contract contrary to what the flash estimate suggested. Instead, the economy grew according to Statistics Netherlands? most recent estimates. The revision indicates GDP volume over 12Q1 increased by 0.3%.