RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Landenrapport

Panama (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Panama's economy continues to rank among the world's fastest growing economies. In order to save future Panama Canal revenues, a sovereign wealth fund has been established, which could strengthen public finances in the long-term.

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Spain (Country Update) (Engelstalig)

The Spanish government is seriously tackling its financial and economic issues. But the country is currently in a perfect storm of recession, missed budget deficit targets, rising government debt and rising opposition to government policies.

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Argentina (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Argentina's self-contradictory and interventionist macroeconomic policy mix is under more and more pressure. As the years of high growth seem to have ended, president's Cristina Kirchner's popularity has been falling rapidly.

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Maldives (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

The political situation in the Maldives escalated in February 2012, when President Nasheed resigned. With the presidential and general elections planned for 2013 and 2014, respectively, more political turmoil is expected.

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Qatar (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

The domestic social situation in Qatar is stable, but an escalation of the civil war in Syria and the conflict between Israel and Iran remain geopolitical risks. We estimate economic growth at 6.5% in 2012.

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China (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Economic growth has been slowing in China, to an estimated 7.8% in 2012. In the coming months, a major leadership transition will take place in China. The government's policies are not expected to change.

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Peru (Country Update) (Engelstalig)

Peru's macroeconomic policies have remained prudent and Peru's economy is likely to grow by 5.5%-6% a year in 2012 and 2013, but social tensions surrounding mining activity remain high.

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Egypt (Country Update) (Engelstalig)

Egypt's economy is slowly recovering from the turmoil surrounding the Arab spring and subsequent events. With an elected government in place, some of the uncertainty of the past years has been removed.

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Malta (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Despite the fact that Malta fell back into recession this year, its economy and banking sector have been relatively resilient over the past years. Malta is expected to record modest growth for 2013.

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Algeria (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Growth slowed in Algeria on account of reduced energy production and weaker demand from Europe. Still, due to an expected increase in oil production and further economic diversification, we expect growth rates to average 5% in the coming years.

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Hungary (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Hungary's economic situation leaves much to be desired. After contracting by nearly 7% in 2009, the economy grew by less than 2% in the subsequent years, only to fall back into recession at the start of 2012.

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Brazil (Country Update) (Engelstalig)

Brazil's economic growth has been disappointing, with growth falling to 2.7% in 2011 and an expected 2% (at most) in 2012. The central bank has been lowering its policy rate to a record-low 7.5%.

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Sri Lanka (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Sri Lanka is an island situated in the Indian Sea. The end of the 26-year long civil war in May 2009 has majorly boosted its economic prospects. Overall, the socio-political situation seems to be the largest risk for Sri Lanka.

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Cyprus (Country update) (Engelstalig)

The Cypriot economy is deteriorating at an alarming speed. As the country's large financial sector is heavily exposed to Greek debt, its banks have been struggling to remain solvent.

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Lithuania (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Lithuania's recovery will slow in 2012, as domestic demand is still recovering and eurozone demand will be slow, reducing the growth of Lithuania's export sector.