RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Landenrapport

Indonesia (Country Update) (Engelstalig)

After growing 4.5% in 2009, the economy is back to its pre-crisis growth level of around 6%. Downside risks to growth are a lower than expected global growth, a reversal of foreign capital flows, and/or a bursting asset bubble.

Landenrapport

Costa Rica (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Thanks to considerable fiscal stimulus, Costa Rica has weathered the global economic crisis and the decline in US demand for its exports relatively well. As stimulus is not yet withdrawn and prospects for the US economy are improving, economic growth for the next years is expected to reach 4.3% on average

Landenrapport

Dominican Republic (Country report) (Engelstalig)

After having avoided dipping into recession in 2009 on the back of countercyclical fiscal and monetary stimulus made possible by an IMF stand-by agreement, the Dominican Republic’s economic recovery outpaced most of its neighbours in 2010. I

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Chile (Country Report) (Engelstalig)

Chile remains a country characterized by good macroeconomic policies and high quality institutions. The country was hit by a heavy earthquake in early 2010, but the impact of this event on country risk has been fairly limited.

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Jordan (Country report) (Engelstalig)

Jordan was confronted with some spill-over from the Tunisian democratic revolution, there is strong support among the people for the King. The King is relatively modern, but the country ranks low on the “Democracy Index”

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Fiji (Country report) (Engelstalig)

The military coup in 2006 marked a continuation of Fiji’s tumultuous political history. Coup leader Bainimarama has remained in charge since, at the cost of democracy. The coup and subsequent repression has isolated Fiji internationally

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Brunei (Country report) (Engelstalig)

The prosperous country of Brunei derives its wealth from an abundance of oil and gas resources. The economy contracted 1.8% yoy in 2009 and is estimated to have grown over 1% in 2010, on the back of higher global commodity prices

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Nigeria (Country report) (Engelstalig)

In spite of a growing non-oil economy, Nigeria’s economic development is still very much dependent on developments in the oil sector. Since oil revenues account for 89% of total exports, the economy is extremely vulnerable to oil price shocks

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Country Report Paraguay (Engelstalig)

Paraguay has posted a very high economic growth rate in 2010, thanks to rapid growth of exports of soybeans and meat. However, the economic structure of the country remains weak, in particular through the strong dependence on agricultural export products.

Landenrapport

Country Report Romania (Engelstalig)

The fragile political stability is currently the main weakness of Romania. Although the cabinet survived three votes of no-confidence last year, dissatisfaction also within the coalition over the harsh austerity measures is rising.

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Country Report Bulgaria (Engelstalig)

Economic recovery in Bulgaria was weak in 2010 (-0.1%), largely because domestic demand and investment were suppressed by higher unemployment and still tight credit conditions. For 2011 and 2012, a slow recovery is expected to around 2.5% and 3.5%, respectively.

Landenrapport

Country Report Azerbaijan (Engelstalig)

After Azerbaijan managed to post strong growth in 2009, slow growth in oil and gas output will constrain GDP growth to between 3 and 4 percent in the coming years.