RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Special

The oil market in turmoil: a case of losers and winners (Engelstalig)

Scenario analyses shows that a surge in oil prices results in a global economic loss of 0.4ppts-0.9ppts between 2018 and 2022. The economic impact, however, is very unevenly distributed among countries. We distinguish three groups: the vulnerable ones, the lucky ones, and the uncomfortable ones.

Special

Institutional quality and economic performance (Engelstalig)

Institutional quality and economic development reinforce each other over the longer term, but we argue that institutional quality leads this virtuous circle. It unlocks growth potential and does not intrinsically suffer from diminishing returns.

Special Engelstalige versie

Visie op 2016: internationale economie

De mondiale groei houdt in 2016 aan, maar versnelt niet. De VS is bijna klaar voor een renteverhoging en de rest van de wereld wacht in spanning af. Normalisatie van het monetaire beleid is economisch riskant, maar te lang, te ruim monetair beleid ook.

Special

Leidt de olieprijsdaling tot een financiële crisis in Rusland?

De lage olieprijs en de Westerse sancties tegen Rusland resulteren in een economische krimp van naar verwachting 3 tot 5% dit jaar. Of er na de valutacrisis ook een financiële crisis ontstaat is moeilijk te voorspellen.

Special

Outlook 2013: Russia and CIS (Engelstalig)

The outlook for economic growth in Russia and the CIS region for 2013 is mostly unchanged from our 2012 estimates. We discuss the economic policy options to boost economic growth next year. However the uncertain global economic backdrop poses a risk.

Special

Turkey: Achievements and challenges (Special) (Engelstalig)

Over the past decade, Turkey broke with its turbulent past, while positioning itself as a regional power. It now enjoys stable public finances and a well-regulated financial sector. But, despite these achievements many challenges remain.

Special

Poland up to 2022: Fish nor Fowl (Engelstalig)

The Country Risk Research team of Rabobank’s Economic Department presents to you the study ‘Poland In depth: ten years ahead’. With this study we aim to provide an in depth analysis of Poland and point out the key developments in the next decade.