RaboResearch - Economisch Onderzoek

Economisch commentaar Engelstalige versie

COVID-19 Economisch Dashboard

Er zit vertraging tussen de gevolgen van de coronacrisis voor de economie en de publicatie van economische data. Daarom werpen we een blik op economische indicatoren die eerder beschikbaar komen. Data over files, internationale vluchten, en restaurantboekingen zijn tijdiger beschikbaar en kunnen ons eerder inzicht geven over de economische effecten van de coronacrisis.

Economisch commentaar

Japan: Wave of concern (Engelstalig)

As we expected, the Bank of Japan did not move during its last meeting and will likely remain in wait and see mode for a while. In the meantime, a second wave of coronavirus infections is hurting Japan’s economic recovery.

Economisch commentaar

Japan: Even more stimulus, yet not enough (Engelstalig)

Japan’s government has increased its stimulus package to a whopping 43% of GDP. This, together with increased central bank stimulus, will prevent bankruptcies and unemployment from rising sharply. However, Japan’s economy is already suffering and we still think it will shrink by 4.8% this year.

Economisch commentaar

India: Extended lockdown causes further economic distress (Engelstalig)

Due to the extended lockdown until 3 May, we have revised our economic outlook and expect the Indian economy to contract by 8.7% in Q2 and the fiscal year 2020/21 to arrive at 1.2%. We also expect the RBI to cut policy rates by another 90 basis points in June, and it might initiate a cap on the reverse repo window or even adopt debt monetization.