Alexandra Dumitru werkt als macro-econoom bij RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets.
Tot haar aandachtsgebied behoren de economische en politieke ontwikkelingen in het VK en Ierland. Alexandra is ook betrokken bij onderzoek en projecten op de thema’s klimaatverandering en energie, zoals de UNEP FI TCFD werkgroep.
Alexandra werkt sinds februari 2013 als econoom bij de Rabobank en heeft zich in de eerste vijf jaar gericht op landenrisicobeleid in verschillende regio’s, waaronder bijna vier jaar Latijns-Amerika. Daarvoor vervulde zij diverse functies voor UTZ Certified, een certificeringsprogramma voor duurzame landbouw, en het Private Sector Investeringsprogramma (PSI), een subsidieprogramma van de Nederlandse overheid voor ontwikkelingssamenwerking (OS), in dit geval het bestrijden van armoede door economische ontwikkeling. Alexandra heeft algemene economie gestudeerd aan de Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam.
Economisch commentaar
Prime Minister May of the United Kingdom survived the annual conference of the Conservative Party and that strengthens her position. The next milestone is the October EU summit and negotiations are intensifying ahead of it.
Economisch commentaar
The Brexit summit of EU leaders in Salzburg on 19-20 September ended up in a drama. That is not justified but it suggests the EU and the UK lack a good understanding of each other and that raises the odds of a ‘Hard Brexit’ by accident.
Column
Leaving the EU has direct and structural economic costs for the UK, irrespective of how the country leaves the EU. The magnitude of the impact depends on the future trade relationship they will negotiate with the EU, and a transition period could soften the blow. From that perspective it is not reassuring that with six months left before ‘Brexit day’ the UK is still divided over the Brexit objectives.
Column
Deal or no deal, sommige dingen veranderen sowieso in het handelen met het VK na Brexit. Zo vervallen alle internationale overeenkomsten van de EU voor het VK, tenzij tegenpartijen verlenging verschaffen. En dat kan de Britse uitvoer flink duurder maken.
Themabericht
The UK government published a long awaited White Paper on the blueprint for the post-Brexit EU-UK relationship. The proposal brings more clarity but not more certainty. Hence the threat of a hard Brexit persists.
Themabericht
On 6 July PM May and her cabinet agreed on a blueprint for the future EU-UK economic relationship, one that keeps close ties to the EU post-Brexit and angered the Brexiteers. PM May averts another crisis but is not out of the woods yet.
Economisch commentaar
The choice of the British population to leave the EU will have significant consequences for trade between the EU and the UK and will affect many companies. Our Brexit Monitor helps you track the latest Brexit Developments and anticipate on further progress.
Themabericht
The Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Theresa May, averts another crisis and pushes the Brexit can down the road making it likely that the Brexit negotiations run into further delays and the withdrawal agreement is ready only towards the end of 2018.
Economisch commentaar
The choice of the UK to leave the EU will have significant consequences for trade between the EU and the UK and will affect many companies. Our Brexit Monitor tracks the latest Brexit developments and anticipates on further progress.
Themabericht
The EU and the UK reached an agreement over a transition period on March 19, 2018. That is good for business continuity but does not affect our Brexit outcome base case. Hence, we maintain our view that the economy will slow down in 2018.